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Creators/Authors contains: "Polyakov, Igor"

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  1. Abstract Tides are an important factor shaping the sea ice system in the Arctic Ocean by altering vertical heat fluxes and advection patterns. Unfortunately, observations are sparse, and the analysis of tides is complicated by the proximity of wind-driven inertial oscillations to the semidiurnal frequencies. Furthermore, computational costs typically prohibit the inclusion of tides in ocean models, leaving a significant gap in our understanding. Motivated by summer observations showing elevated downward surface heat fluxes in the presence of tides, we analyzed simulations carried out with an eddy-permitting coupled ice–ocean model to quantify the impact of tidal effects on Arctic sea ice. In line with previous studies, we find an overall decrease in sea ice volume when tides are included in the simulations, associated with increased vertical mixing and the upward flux of heat from deeper layers of the Arctic Ocean, but this sea ice volume decrease is less pronounced than previously thought. Surprisingly, our simulations suggest that in summer, Arctic sea ice area is larger, by up to 1.5%, when tides are included in the simulations. This effect is partly caused by an increased downward surface heat flux and a consequently lower sea surface temperature, delaying sea ice melting predominantly in the Siberian Seas, where tides are moderately strong and the warm Atlantic Water core is located relatively deep and does not encroach on the wide continental shelf. Here, tidally enhanced downward heat flux from the surface in summer can dominate over the increased upward heat flux from the warm Atlantic Water layer. Significance StatementThis study sheds light on the complex and understudied role of tides in Arctic sea ice dynamics. By utilizing advanced computer models, our research uncovers that, contrary to common expectations, tides contribute to a seasonal increase in sea ice area by up to 1.5% in summer. This effect is attributed to enhanced advection of sea ice into the Siberian Seas and a local increase in downward heat flux reducing sea surface temperatures, thereby delaying sea ice melting in this region. Our findings challenge prevailing notions about the negative impact of tides on sea ice and highlight the importance of incorporating tidal impacts in ocean models to improve predictions of Arctic sea ice changes, key for our understanding of both Arctic and global climate dynamics. 
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    Free, publicly-accessible full text available November 1, 2026
  2. Arctic Ocean gateway fluxes play a crucial role in linking the Arctic with the global ocean and affecting climate and marine ecosystems. We reviewed past studies on Arctic–Subarctic ocean linkages and examined their changes and driving mechanisms. Our review highlights that radical changes occurred in the inflows and outflows of the Arctic Ocean during the 2010s. Specifically, the Pacific inflow temperature in the Bering Strait and Atlantic inflow temperature in the Fram Strait hit record highs, while the Pacific inflow salinity in the Bering Strait and Arctic outflow salinity in the Davis and Fram straits hit record lows. Both the ocean heat convergence from lower latitudes to the Arctic and the hydrological cycle connecting the Arctic with Subarctic seas were stronger in 2000–2020 than in 1980–2000. CMIP6 models project a continuing increase in poleward ocean heat convergence in the 21st century, mainly due to warming of inflow waters. They also predict an increase in freshwater input to the Arctic Ocean, with the largest increase in freshwater export expected to occur in the Fram Strait due to both increased ocean volume export and decreased salinity. Fram Strait sea ice volume export hit a record low in the 2010s and is projected to continue to decrease along with Arctic sea ice decline. We quantitatively attribute the variability of the volume, heat, and freshwater transports in the Arctic gateways to forcing within and outside the Arctic based on dedicated numerical simulations and emphasize the importance of both origins in driving the variability. 
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  3. Abstract Radium isotopes, which are sourced from sediments, are useful tools for studying potential climate‐driven changes in the transfer of shelf‐derived elements to the open Arctic Ocean. Here we present observations of radium‐228 and radium‐226 from the Siberian Arctic, focusing on the shelf‐basin boundary north of the Laptev and East Siberian Seas. Water isotopes and nutrients are used to deconvolve the contributions from different water masses in the study region, and modeled currents and water parcel back‐trajectories provide insights on water pathways and residence times. High radium levels and fractions of meteoric water, along with modeled water parcel back‐trajectories, indicate that shelf‐ and river‐influenced water left the East Siberian Shelf around 170°E in 2021; this is likely where the Transpolar Drift was entering the central Arctic. A transect extending from the East Siberian Slope into the basin is used to estimate a radium‐228 flux of 2.67 × 107atoms m−2 d−1(possible range of 1.23 × 107–1.04 × 108atoms m−2 d−1) from slope sediments, which is comparable to slope fluxes in other regions of the world. A box model is used to determine that the flux of radium‐228 from the Laptev and East Siberian Shelves is 9.03 × 107atoms m−2 d−1(possible range of 3.87 × 107–1.56 × 108atoms m−2 d−1), similar to previously estimated fluxes from the Chukchi Shelf. These three shelves contribute a disproportionately high amount of radium to the Arctic, highlighting their importance in regulating the chemistry of Arctic surface waters. 
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  5. Abstract Tidal and wind-driven near-inertial currents play a vital role in the changing Arctic climate and the marine ecosystems. We compiled 429 available moored current observations taken over the last two decades throughout the Arctic to assemble a pan-Arctic atlas of tidal band currents. The atlas contains different tidal current products designed for the analysis of tidal parameters from monthly to inter-annual time scales. On shorter time scales, wind-driven inertial currents cannot be analytically separated from semidiurnal tidal constituents. Thus, we include 10–30 h band-pass filtered currents, which include all semidiurnal and diurnal tidal constituents as well as wind-driven inertial currents for the analysis of high-frequency variability of ocean dynamics. This allows for a wide range of possible uses, including local case studies of baroclinic tidal currents, assessment of long-term trends in tidal band kinetic energy and Arctic-wide validation of ocean circulation models. This atlas may also be a valuable tool for resource management and industrial applications such as fisheries, navigation and offshore construction. 
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  6. Abstract A 15-yr duration record of mooring observations from the eastern (>70°E) Eurasian Basin (EB) of the Arctic Ocean is used to show and quantify the recently increased oceanic heat flux from intermediate-depth (~150–900 m) warm Atlantic Water (AW) to the surface mixed layer and sea ice. The upward release of AW heat is regulated by the stability of the overlying halocline, which we show has weakened substantially in recent years. Shoaling of the AW has also contributed, with observations in winter 2017–18 showing AW at only 80 m depth, just below the wintertime surface mixed layer, the shallowest in our mooring records. The weakening of the halocline for several months at this time implies that AW heat was linked to winter convection associated with brine rejection during sea ice formation. This resulted in a substantial increase of upward oceanic heat flux during the winter season, from an average of 3–4 W m −2 in 2007–08 to >10 W m −2 in 2016–18. This seasonal AW heat loss in the eastern EB is equivalent to a more than a twofold reduction of winter ice growth. These changes imply a positive feedback as reduced sea ice cover permits increased mixing, augmenting the summer-dominated ice-albedo feedback. 
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